Procalcitonin in hemodialysis patients presenting with fever or chills to the emergency department.

We sought to assess the role of procalcitonin in discriminating severe bacterial infections requiring antibiotic treatment from non-bacterial causes of fever or chills in chronic dialysis patients. Chronic hemodialysis patients who were admitted to the emergency room due to fever and/or chills were recruited to the study. The presence or absence of bacterial infection was defined after recruitment conclusion by an infectious disease specialist who was blinded to procalcitonin results. Procalcitonin levels were compared between infected and non-infected patients. Out of 54 patients recruited, 22 (41%) patients eventually diagnosed with infection. Mean (± SD) procalcitonin values were 4.3 (± 5.5) ng/ml among cases, 1.0 (± 2.0) ng/ml among controls with no infection (p = 0.02). A cutoff PCT value of 1 ng/ml or higher had 77% sensitivity and 59% specificity for the diagnosis of severe infection. Procalcitonin cannot usefully identify hemodialysis patient with bacterial infection.

Measles-related hospitalizations and associated complications in Jerusalem, 2018-2019.

OBJECTIVES: The 2018 measles outbreak in Israel affected >2000 people in Jerusalem. The aim of the study was to describe clinical features and complications of hospitalized measles patients in Jerusalem, as related to age group and risk factors. METHODS: All individuals hospitalized with measles in the three main hospitals in Jerusalem during March 2018 to February 2019 were included. Demographic, clinical and laboratory data were analysed. RESULTS: Of 161 hospitalized individuals, 86 (53.4%) were <5 years old, 16 (10%) were ≥5 years but <20 years old, and 59 (36.6%) were ≥20 years old. Most, 114/135 (85%), were unvaccinated. Immunocompromised state was identified in 12/161 (7.5%) patients, 20/161 (12.4%) had other underlying co-morbidities, and four were pregnant. Hypoxaemia on admission was a common finding in all age groups. Hepatitis was more common among adults ≥20 years old (33/59, 59%). Measles-related complications were noted in 95/161 (59%) patients, and included pneumonia/pneumonitis (67/161, 41.6%), which was more common in young (<5 years) children, diarrhoea (18/161, 11.2%), otitis (18/161, 11.2%), and neurological complications (6/161, 3.7%)-the latter occurring more frequently in the 5- to 20-year age group. Two of the 12 immunocompromised patients died of measles-related complications. A high re-admission rate (19/161, 11.8%) within 3 months was documented among hospitalized measles patients. CONCLUSION: The burden of hospitalization, as well as the high rate of short- and long-term complications observed in hospitalized patients, underscore the importance of maintaining a high measles vaccine coverage, with enhanced targeting of unvaccinated population pockets.

A simplified blood culture sampling protocol for reducing contamination and costs: a randomized controlled trial.

OBJECTIVES: Blood culture contamination carries risks for patients, such as unnecessary antimicrobial therapy and other additional hazards and costs. One method shown to be effective in reducing contamination is initial blood specimen diversion during collection. We hypothesized that initial blood specimen diversion without a designated device or procedure would suffice for reduction in blood culture contamination rate. METHODS: From 1 September 2017 through to 6 September 2018, we conducted a randomized controlled trial to assess the effect of an initial-specimen diversion technique (ISDT) on the rate of blood-culture contamination by changing the order of sampling using regular vacuum specimen tubes instead of commercially available sterile diversion devices. We included adults from whom the treating physician planned to take blood cultures and additional blood chemistry tests. Additionally, we evaluated the potential economic benefits of an ISDT. This was a researcher-initiated trial, Clinicaltrials.gov NCT03088865. RESULTS: In all, 756 patients were enrolled. This method, compared with the standard procedure in use at our medical centre, reduced contamination by 66% (95% CI 17%-86%), from 20/400 (5%) with the standard method to 6/356 (1.6%) with the ISDT, without compromising detection of true bloodstream infection and at no additional cost. Hospital-wide implementation of ISDT was associated with a 1.1% saving in hospitalization days. CONCLUSIONS: We offer this novel approach as a simple, cost-effective measure to reduce risks to patient safety from contaminated blood cultures, without the need for using costly devices.

Blood clotting and traumatic injury with shock mediates complement-dependent neutrophil priming for extracellular ROS, ROS-dependent organ injury and coagulopathy.

Polymorphonuclear (PMN) leucocytes participate in acute inflammatory pathologies such as acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) following traumatic injury and shock, which also activates the coagulation system systemically. Trauma can prime the PMN nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide phosphate (NADPH) oxidase complex for an enhanced respiratory burst, but the relative role of various priming agents in this process remains incompletely understood. We therefore set out to identify mediators of PMN priming during coagulation and trauma-shock and determine whether PMN reactive oxygen species (ROS) generated in this manner could influence organ injury and coagulation. Initial experiments demonstrated that PMN are primed for predominantly extracellular ROS production by products of coagulation, which was abrogated by CD88/C5a receptor(C5aR) inhibition. The importance of this was highlighted further by demonstrating that known PMN priming agents result in fractionally different amounts of extracellular versus intracellular ROS release depending on the agent used. Plasma from trauma patients in haemodynamic shock (n = 10) also primed PMN for extracellular ROS in a C5a-dependent manner, which correlated with both complement alternative pathway activation and thrombin generation. Furthermore, PMN primed by preincubation with products of blood coagulation directly caused loss of endothelial barrier function in vitro that was abrogated by C5aR blockade or NADPH oxidase inhibition. Finally, we show in a murine model of trauma-shock that p47phox knock-out (KO) mice with PMN incapable of generating ROS were protected from inflammatory end-organ injury and activated protein C-mediated coagulopathy. In summary, we demonstrate that trauma-shock and coagulation primes PMN for predominantly extracellular ROS production in a C5a-dependent manner that contributes to endothelial barrier loss and organ injury, and potentially enhances traumatic coagulopathy.

Predictors for Adherence to Multidisciplinary Follow-Up Care after Sleeve Gastrectomy.

INTRODUCTION: A considerable proportion of patients who undergo bariatric surgeries (BS) do not attend routine postoperative follow-up despite recommendations for such. Data are sparse regarding the various aspects of patient adherence to consultations following sleeve gastrectomy (SG). OBJECTIVES: To examine predictors of adherence to SG follow-up, reasons for attrition from follow-up, and the relationship between adherence to follow-up and weight loss results. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed with a mean follow-up of 3 years. Data were collected from electronic medical records and telephone questionnaires. Adherence was defined both as a numerical variable (ranking 0-9 according to the number of pre-scheduled postoperative visits) and as a dichotomous variable (adherent and non-adherent groups). RESULTS: Of 178 patients, 46.63% were defined as "adherent," according to the dichotomous definition. Compared to the "non-adherent group," patients in the "adherent group" more regularly used vitamin D after the surgery, had fewer rehospitalizations, and reported a lower intake of sweetened beverages. The main reasons for attrition were work-related and difficulties in mobility. Adherence to postoperative follow-up was not found to be correlated to weight loss. Older age (OR = 1.04; p = 0.026) and postoperative side effects (OR = 2.33; p = 0.035) were found to be positive predictors for adherence, whereas rehospitalizations (OR = 0.08; p = 0.028) and ethnical minority status were negative predictors (OR = 0.42; p = 0.019). CONCLUSION: Adherence to postoperative follow-up was found to be associated with positive lifestyle behaviors; however, no correlation was found to mid-term weight loss outcomes.

Clinically applicable irreversible electroporation for eradication of micro-organisms.

Irreversible electroporation (IRE) damages cell membranes and is used in medicine for nonthermal ablation of malignant tumours. Our aim was to evaluate the antimicrobial effect of IRE. The pathogenic micro-organisms, Staphylococcus aureus, Streptococcus pyogenes, Escherichia coli, Pseudomonas aeruginosa and Candida albicans were subjected to IRE. Survival was measured as a function of voltage and the number of pulses applied. Combined use of IRE and oxacillin for eradication of Staph. aureus was also tested. Log10 reduction in micro-organisms positively correlated with the number of applied pulses. The colony count of Strep. pyogenes and E. coli declined by 3·38 and 3·05 orders of magnitude, respectively, using an electric field of 2000 V and 100 pulses. Killing of Staph. aureus and P. aeruginosa was achieved with a double cycle of IRE (2000, 1500 V and repeated 1250 V respectively) of 50-100 IRE pulses. The addition of subclinical inhibitory concentrations of oxacillin to the Staph. aureus suspension prior to IRE led to total bacterial death, demonstrating synergism between oxacillin and IRE. Our results demonstrate that using IRE with clinically established parameters has a marked in vitro effect on pathogenic micro-organisms and highlights the potential of IRE as a treatment modality for deep-seated infections, particularly when combined with low doses of antibiotics. SIGNIFICANCE AND IMPACT OF THE STUDY: Irreversible electroporation (IRE) is utilized in interventional radiology to treat cancer patients. In this study we evaluated in vitro the antimicrobial effect of IRE. We demonstrated that using IRE with clinically established parameters has a marked effect on pathogenic micro-organisms and is synergistic to antimicrobials when both are combined. Our results point to the potential of IRE as a treatment modality for deep-seated infections.

External validation of a smartphone app model to predict the need for massive transfusion using five different definitions.

BACKGROUND: Previously, a model to predict massive transfusion protocol (MTP) (activation) was derived using a single-institution data set. The PRospective, Observational, Multicenter, Major Trauma Transfusion database was used to externally validate this model's ability to predict both MTP activation and massive transfusion (MT) administration using multiple MT definitions. METHODS: The app model was used to calculate the predicted probability of MTP activation or MT delivery. The five definitions of MT used were: (1) 10 units packed red blood cells (PRBCs) in 24 hours, (2) Resuscitation Intensity score ≥ 4, (3) critical administration threshold, (4) 4 units PRBCs in 4 hours; and (5) 6 units PRBCs in 6 hours. Receiver operating curves were plotted to compare the predicted probability of MT with observed outcomes. RESULTS: Of 1,245 patients in the data set, 297 (24%) met definition 1, 570 (47%) met definition 2, 364 (33%) met definition 3, 599 met definition 4 (49.1%), and 395 met definition 5 (32.4%). Regardless of the outcome (MTP activation or MT administration), the predictive ability of the app model was consistent: when predicting activation of the MTP, the area under the curve for the model was 0.694 and when predicting MT administration, the area under the curve ranged from 0.695 to 0.711. CONCLUSION: Regardless of the definition of MT used, the app model demonstrates moderate ability to predict the need for MT in an external, homogenous population. Importantly, the app allows the model to be iteratively recalibrated ("machine learning") and thus could improve its predictive capability as additional data are accrued. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Diagnostic test study/Prognostic study, level III.

Damage control resuscitation in patients with severe traumatic hemorrhage: a practice management guideline from the Eastern Association for the Surgery of Trauma

BACKGROUND: The resuscitation of severely injured bleeding patients has evolved into a multi-modal strategy termed damage control resuscitation (DCR). This guideline evaluates several aspects of DCR including the role of massive transfusion (MT) protocols, the optimal target ratio of plasma (PLAS) and platelets (PLT) to red blood cells (RBC) during DCR, and the role of recombinant activated factor VII (rVIIa) and tranexamic acid (TXA). METHODS: Using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) methodology, a subcommittee of the Practice Management Guidelines (PMG) Section of EAST conducted a systematic review using MEDLINE and EMBASE. Articles in English from1985 through 2015 were considered in evaluating four PICO questions relevant to DCR. RESULT: A total of 37 studies were identified for analysis, of which 31 met criteria for quantitative meta-analysis. In these studies, mortality decreased with use of an MT/DCR protocol vs. no protocol (OR 0.61, 95% CI 0.43-0.87, p = 0.006) and with a high ratio of PLAS:RBC and PLT:RBC (relatively more PLAS and PLT) vs. a low ratio (OR 0.60, 95% CI 0.46-0.77, p < 0.0001; OR 0.44, 95% CI 0.28-0.71, p = 0.0003). Mortality and blood product use were no different with either rVIIa vs. no rVIIa or with TXA vs. no TXA. CONCLUSION: DCR can significantly improve outcomes in severely injured bleeding patients. After a review of the best available evidence, we recommend the use of a MT/DCR protocol in hospitals that manage such patients and recommend that the protocol target a high ratio of PLAS and PLT to RBC. This is best achieved by transfusing equal amounts of RBC, PLAS, and PLT during the early, empiric phase of resuscitation. We cannot recommend for or against the use of rVIIa based on the available evidence. Finally, we conditionally recommend the in-hospital use of TXA early in the management of severely injured bleeding patients.

Exposure to ertapenem is possibly associated with Pseudomonas aeruginosa antibiotic resistance.

The role of antibiotic exposure in the evolution and emergence of resistance is challenging to assess. We used carbapenem-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa (PA) phenotypes to assess possible factors that are associated with the occurrence and prognosis of such a phenotype and to examine the possible contribution of antibiotic exposure to the evolution of antimicrobial resistance. We conducted a nested case-control study. Cases were defined as patients from whom carbapenem-resistant ureidopenicillin-sensitive PA (CRUS-PA) was isolated; matched controls were PA patients who did not have isolation of CRUS-PA. We analysed potential predictors of CRUS-PA isolation and assessed their clinical significance (mortality and eventual isolation of pan-resistant PA), taking into account antibiotic exposures. We matched 800 case-control pairs. Case patients were more likely to have been exposed to anti-PA carbapenems (OR = 6.9; 95% CI, 2.5-18.6). This finding did not apply to the administration of other antibiotics. The mortality among CRUS-PA patients was similar to that of the controls (HR, 0.8 95%; CI, 0.6-1.1). Subsequent isolation of pan-resistant PA was more frequent among case patients compared with non-pan-resistant controls (p-value <0.05). Among cases, the risk of eventual pan-resistant PA isolation was increased in ertapenem recipients, only after and not prior to the index specimen date (HR, 1.9, 95%; CI, 1.01-3.4). Therefore we suggest that the CRUS-PA phenotype may represent pan beta-lactam resistance and that antibiotic exposure is associated with evolution of PA resistance phenotypes. We demonstrate a novel association of ertapenem with sequentially appearing PA resistance patterns.

Dissection of the C-terminal region of E1A redefines the roles of CtBP and other cellular targets in oncogenic transformation.

Human adenovirus E1A makes extensive connections with the cellular protein interaction network. By doing so, E1A can manipulate many cellular programs, including cell cycle progression. Through these reprogramming events, E1A functions as a growth-promoting oncogene and has been used extensively to investigate mechanisms contributing to oncogenesis. Nevertheless, it remains unclear how the C-terminal region of E1A contributes to oncogenic transformation. Although this region is required for transformation in cooperation with E1B, it paradoxically suppresses transformation in cooperation with activated Ras. Previous analysis has suggested that the interaction of E1A with CtBP plays a pivotal role in both activities. However, some C-terminal mutants of E1A retain CtBP binding and yet exhibit defects in transformation, suggesting that other targets of this region are also necessary. To explore the roles of these additional factors, we performed an extensive mutational analysis of the C terminus of E1A. We identified key residues that are specifically required for binding all known targets of the C terminus of E1A. We further tested each mutant for the ability to both localize to the nucleus and transform primary rat cells in cooperation with E1B-55K or Ras. Interaction of E1A with importin α3/Qip1, dual-specificity tyrosine-regulated kinase 1A (DYRK1A), HAN11, and CtBP influenced transformation with E1B-55K. Interestingly, the interaction of E1A with DYRK1A and HAN11 appeared to play a role in suppression of transformation by activated Ras whereas interaction with CtBP was not necessary. This unexpected result suggests a need for revision of current models and provides new insight into transformation by the C terminus of E1A.

Effects of fetal antiepileptic drug exposure: outcomes at age 4.5 years.

OBJECTIVE: To examine outcomes at age 4.5 years and compare to earlier ages in children with fetal antiepileptic drug (AED) exposure. METHODS: The NEAD Study is an ongoing prospective observational multicenter study, which enrolled pregnant women with epilepsy on AED monotherapy (1999-2004) to determine if differential long-term neurodevelopmental effects exist across 4 commonly used AEDs (carbamazepine, lamotrigine, phenytoin, or valproate). The primary outcome is IQ at 6 years of age. Planned analyses were conducted using Bayley Scales of Infant Development (BSID at age 2) and Differential Ability Scale (IQ at ages 3 and 4.5). RESULTS: Multivariate intent-to-treat (n = 310) and completer (n = 209) analyses of age 4.5 IQ revealed significant effects for AED group. IQ for children exposed to valproate was lower than each other AED. Adjusted means (95% confidence intervals) were carbamazepine 106 (102-109), lamotrigine 106 (102-109), phenytoin 105 (102-109), valproate 96 (91-100). IQ was negatively associated with valproate dose, but not other AEDs. Maternal IQ correlated with child IQ for children exposed to the other AEDs, but not valproate. Age 4.5 IQ correlated with age 2 BSID and age 3 IQ. Frequency of marked intellectual impairment diminished with age except for valproate (10% with IQ <70 at 4.5 years). Verbal abilities were impaired for all 4 AED groups compared to nonverbal skills. CONCLUSIONS: Adverse cognitive effects of fetal valproate exposure persist to 4.5 years and are related to performances at earlier ages. Verbal abilities may be impaired by commonly used AEDs. Additional research is needed.

Use of models in identification and prediction of physiology in critically ill surgical patients.

BACKGROUND: With higher-throughput data acquisition and processing, increasing computational power, and advancing computer and mathematical techniques, modelling of clinical and biological data is advancing rapidly. Although exciting, the goal of recreating or surpassing in silico the clinical insight of the experienced clinician remains difficult. Advances toward this goal and a brief overview of various modelling and statistical techniques constitute the purpose of this review. METHODS: A review of the literature and experience with models and physiological state representation and prediction after injury was undertaken. RESULTS: A brief overview of models and the thinking behind their use for surgeons new to the field is presented, including an introduction to visualization and modelling work in surgical care, discussion of state identification and prediction, discussion of causal inference statistical approaches, and a brief introduction to new vital signs and waveform analysis. CONCLUSION: Modelling in surgical critical care can provide a useful adjunct to traditional reductionist biological and clinical analysis. Ultimately the goal is to model computationally the clinical acumen of the experienced clinician.

Increased platelet:RBC ratios are associated with improved survival after massive transfusion.

BACKGROUND: Several recent military and civilian trauma studies demonstrate that improved outcomes are associated with early and increased use of plasma-based resuscitation strategies. However, outcomes associated with platelet transfusions are poorly characterized. We hypothesized that increased platelet:red blood cells (RBC) ratios would decrease hemorrhagic death and improve survival after massive transfusion (MT). METHODS: A transfusion database of patients transported from the scene to 22 Level I Trauma Centers over 12 months in 2005 to 2006 was reviewed. MT was defined as receiving ≥ 10 RBC units within 24 hours of admission. To mitigate survival bias, 25 patients who died within 60 minutes of arrival were excluded from analysis. Six random donor platelet units were considered equal to a single apheresis platelet unit. Admission and outcome data associated with the low (>1:20), medium (1:2), and high (1:1) platelet:RBC ratios were examined. These groups were based on the median value of the tertiles for the ratio of platelets:RBC units. RESULTS: Two thousand three hundred twelve patients received at least one unit of blood and 643 received an MT. Admission vital signs, INR, temperature, pH, Glasgow Coma Scale, Injury Severity Score, and age were similar between platelet ratio groups. The average admission platelet counts were lower in the patients who received the high platelet:RBC ratio versus the low ratio (192 vs. 216, p = 0.03). Patients who received MT were severely injured, with a mean (± standard deviation) Injury Severity Score of 33 ± 16 and received 22 ± 15 RBCs and 11 ± 14 platelets within 24 hours of injury. Increased platelet ratios were associated with improved survival at 24 hours and 30 days (p < 0.001 for both). Truncal hemorrhage as a cause of death was decreased (low: 67%, medium: 60%, high: 47%, p = 0.04). Multiple organ failure mortality was increased (low: 7%, medium: 16%, high: 27%, p = 0.003), but overall 30-day survival was improved (low: 52%, medium: 57%, high: 70%) in the high ratio group (medium vs. high: p = 0.008; low vs. high: p = 0.007). CONCLUSION: Similar to recently published military data, transfusion of platelet:RBC ratios of 1:1 was associated with improved early and late survival, decreased hemorrhagic death and a concomitant increase in multiple organ failure-related mortality. Based on this large retrospective study, increased and early use of platelets may be justified, pending the results of prospective randomized transfusion data.

High ratios of plasma and platelets to packed red blood cells do not affect mortality in nonmassively transfused patients.

BACKGROUND: Administration of high transfusion ratios in patients not requiring massive transfusion might be harmful. We aimed to determine the effect of high ratios of fresh frozen plasma (FFP) and platelets (PLT) to packed red blood cells (PRBC) in nonmassively transfused patients. METHODS: Records of 1,788 transfused trauma patients who received <10 units of PRBC in 24 hours at 23 United States Level I trauma centers were reviewed. The relationship between ratio category (low and high) and in-hospital mortality was assessed with propensity-adjusted multivariate proportional hazards models. RESULTS: At baseline, patients transfused with a high FFP:PRBC ratio were younger, had a lower Glasgow Coma Scale score, and a higher Injury Severity Score. Those receiving a high PLT:PRBC ratio were older. The risk of in-hospital mortality did not vary significantly with FFP:PRBC ratio category. Intensive care unit (ICU)-free days, hospital-free days, and ventilator-free days did not vary significantly with FFP:PRBC ratio category. ICU-free days and ventilator-free days were significantly decreased among patients in the high (≥1:1) PLT:PRBC category, and hospital-free days did not vary significantly with PLT:PRBC ratio category. The analysis was repeated using 1:2 as the cutoff for high and low ratios. Using this cutoff, there was still no difference in mortality with either FFP:PRBC ratios or platelet:PRBC ratios. However, patients receiving a >1:2 ratio of FFP:PRBCs or a >1:2 ratio PLT:PRBCs had significantly decreased ICU-free days and ventilator-free days. CONCLUSIONS: FFP:PRBC and PLT:PRBC ratios were not associated with in-hospital mortality. Depending on the threshold analyzed, a high ratio of FFP:PRBC and PLT:PRBC transfusion was associated with fewer ICU-free days and fewer ventilator-free days, suggesting that the damage control infusion of FFP and PLT may cause increased morbidity in nonmassively transfused patients and should be rapidly terminated when it becomes clear that a massive transfusion will not be required.

The association of blood component use ratios with the survival of massively transfused trauma patients with and without severe brain injury.

BACKGROUND: The effect of blood component ratios on the survival of patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI) has not been studied. METHODS: A database of patients transfused in the first 24 hours after admission for injury from 22 Level I trauma centers over an 18-month period was queried to find patients who (1) met different definitions of massive transfusion (5 units red blood cell [RBC] in 6 hours vs. 10 units RBC in 24 hours), (2) received high or low ratios of platelets or plasma to RBC units (<1:2 vs. ≥ 1:2), and (3) had severe TBI (head abbreviated injury score ≥ 3) (TBI+). RESULTS: Of 2,312 total patients, 850 patients were transfused with ≥ 5 RBC units in 6 hours and 807 could be classified into TBI+ (n = 281) or TBI- (n = 526). Six hundred forty-three patients were transfused with ≥ 10 RBC units in 24 hours with 622 classified into TBI+ (n = 220) and TBI- (n = 402). For both high-risk populations, a high ratio of platelets:RBCs (not plasma) was independently associated with improved 30-day survival for patients with TBI+ and a high ratio of plasma:RBCs (not platelets) was independently associated with improved 30-day survival in TBI- patients. CONCLUSIONS: High platelet ratio was associated with improved survival in TBI+ patients while a high plasma ratio was associated with improved survival in TBI- patients. Prospective studies of blood product ratios should include TBI in the analysis for determination of optimal use of ratios on outcome in injured patients.

Effect of high product ratio massive transfusion on mortality in blunt and penetrating trauma patients.

BACKGROUND: Recent data suggest that massively transfused patients have lower mortality rates when high ratios (>1:2) of plasma or platelets to red blood cells (RBCs) are used. Blunt and penetrating trauma patients have different injury patterns and may respond differently to resuscitation. This study was performed to determine whether mortality after high product ratio massive transfusion is different in blunt and penetrating trauma patients. METHODS: Patients receiving 10 or more units of RBCs in the first 24 hours after admission to one of 23 Level I trauma centers were analyzed. Baseline physiologic and biochemical data were obtained. Univariate and logistic regression analyses were performed. Adjusted mortality in patients receiving high (≥ 1:2) and low (<1:2) ratios of plasma or platelets to RBCs was calculated for blunt and penetrating trauma patients. RESULTS: The cohort contained 703 patients. Blunt injury patients receiving a high ratio of plasma or platelets to RBCs had lower 24-hour mortality (22% vs. 31% for plasma, p = 0.007; 20% vs. 30% for platelets, p = 0.032), but there was no difference in 30-day mortality (40% vs. 44% for plasma, p = 0.085; 37% vs. 44% for platelets, p = 0.063). Patients with penetrating injuries receiving a high plasma:RBC ratio had lower 24-hour mortality (21% vs. 37%, p = 0.005) and 30-day mortality (29% vs. 45%, p = 0.005). High platelet:RBC ratios did not affect mortality in penetrating patients. CONCLUSION: Use of high plasma:RBC ratios during massive transfusion may benefit penetrating trauma patients to a greater degree than blunt trauma patients. High platelet:RBC ratios did not benefit either group.

Profoundly abnormal initial physiologic and biochemical data cannot be used to determine futility in massively transfused trauma patients.

BACKGROUND: Improvements in prehospital care and resuscitation have led to increases in the number of severely injured patients who are salvageable. Massive transfusion has been increasingly used. Patients often present with markedly abnormal physiologic and biochemical data. The purpose of this study was to identify objective data that can be used to identify clinical futility in massively transfused trauma patients to allow for early termination of resuscitative efforts. METHODS: A multicenter database was used. Initial physiologic and biochemical data were obtained, and mortality was determined for patients in the 5th and 10th percentiles for each variable. Raw data from the extreme outliers for each variable were also examined to determine whether a point of excessive mortality could be identified. Injury scoring data were also analyzed. A classification tree model was used to look for variable combinations that predict clinical futility. RESULTS: The cohort included 704 patients. Overall mortality was 40.2%. The highest mortality rates were seen in patients in the 10th percentile for lactate (77%) and pH (72%). Survivors at the extreme ends of the distribution curves for each variable were not uncommon. The classification tree analysis failed to identify any biochemical and physiologic variable combination predictive of >90% mortality. Patients older than 65 years with severe head injuries had 100% mortality. CONCLUSION: Consideration should be given to withholding massive transfusion for patients older than 65 years with severe head injuries. Otherwise we did not identify any objective variables that reliably predict clinical futility in individual cases. Significant survival rates can be expected even in patients with profoundly abnormal physiologic and biochemical data.

A predictive model for mortality in massively transfused trauma patients.

BACKGROUND: Improvements in trauma systems and resuscitation have increased survival in severely injured patients. Massive transfusion has been increasingly used in the civilian setting. Objective predictors of mortality have not been well described. This study examined data available in the early postinjury period to identify variables that are predictive of 24-hour- and 30-day mortality in massively transfused trauma patients. METHODS: Massively transfused trauma patients from 23 Level I centers were studied. Variables available on patient arrival that were predictive of mortality at 24 hours were entered into a logistic regression model. A second model was created adding data available 6 hours after injury. A third model evaluated mortality at 30 days. Receiver operating characteristic curves and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test were used to assess model quality. RESULTS: Seven hundred four massively transfused patients were analyzed. The model best able to predict 24-hour mortality included pH, Glasgow Coma Scale score, and heart rate, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.747. Addition of the 6-hour red blood cell requirement increased the AUROC to 0.769. The model best able to predict 30-day mortality included the above variables plus age and Injury Severity Score with an AUROC of 0.828. CONCLUSION: Glasgow Coma Scale score, pH, heart rate, age, Injury Severity Score, and 6-hour red blood cell transfusion requirement independently predict mortality in massively transfused trauma patients. Models incorporating these data have only a modest ability to predict mortality and should not be used to justify withholding massive transfusion in individual cases.